Comments on: Why Airbus and Boeing will soon go bust http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/ none the wiser Thu, 20 Nov 2008 18:14:48 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.2.2 By: mandarine http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9193 mandarine Thu, 10 Jul 2008 04:17:00 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9193 Nuclear-made or solar-made hydrogen is probably a good solution to power airplanes in the far future. The problem is the transition during which all types of energy will necessarily cost the same thing as oil-based energy, because of the overall energy shortage. In fact, air traffic will not suffer from a shortage of oil, but from a shortage of the cheap energy its business model was built around. Nuclear-made or solar-made hydrogen is probably a good solution to power airplanes in the far future. The problem is the transition during which all types of energy will necessarily cost the same thing as oil-based energy, because of the overall energy shortage. In fact, air traffic will not suffer from a shortage of oil, but from a shortage of the cheap energy its business model was built around.

]]> By: Mike http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9192 Mike Wed, 09 Jul 2008 19:51:30 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9192 Hi, I did a part of my education at the Sorbonne in the 60's I'm half French Half Swiss, Or is it une moitie Suisse et l'autre Francaise? Worked for Roche Chemical and shipped in the US in 76 now semi retired in Florida. Still playing with cosmetics. My pet peeve is why no body seems to be interested in hydrogen? OK, is electricity intensive but atomic generator can produce cheap electricity I also think if we put few scientific minds to work we can found a solution to the waste material, Something to ponder about Mike Hi,
I did a part of my education at the Sorbonne in the 60’s I’m half French Half Swiss, Or is it une moitie Suisse et l’autre Francaise?
Worked for Roche Chemical and shipped in the US in 76 now semi retired in Florida. Still playing with cosmetics.
My pet peeve is why no body seems to be interested in hydrogen?
OK, is electricity intensive but atomic generator can produce cheap electricity
I also think if we put few scientific minds to work we can found a solution to the waste material,
Something to ponder about
Mike

]]> By: mandarine http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9183 mandarine Fri, 04 Jul 2008 09:18:20 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9183 I have been working on BWB (among others). Let me just say this: there have been BWB projects and prototypes for half a century, and they never managed to exit a very narrow niche. The hard truth is that they cannot meet airworthiness safety regulations. I have been working on BWB (among others). Let me just say this: there have been BWB projects and prototypes for half a century, and they never managed to exit a very narrow niche. The hard truth is that they cannot meet airworthiness safety regulations.

]]> By: Mike McCarthy http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9176 Mike McCarthy Thu, 03 Jul 2008 18:40:35 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9176 NASA and the mil side of Boeing are playing with BWBs (X-48B). A UK group is too, but they seem to have compromised their approach with excessive noise reduction efforts (it's called "Silent Aircraft"). Both groups seem unaware of peak oil, in that their designs use turbofans. Their documentation includes mention of a very low stall speed (I'm recalling 90 kts), substantial fuel eff. improvements, and very large cargo capacity. What do you think of a BWB powered by turboprops, along the lines of your DC-4, "totally new kind of bird, absolutely optimized for fuel efficiency" ?? NASA and the mil side of Boeing are playing with BWBs (X-48B). A UK group is too, but they seem to have compromised their approach with excessive noise reduction efforts (it’s called “Silent Aircraft”). Both groups seem unaware of peak oil, in that their designs use turbofans.

Their documentation includes mention of a very low stall speed (I’m recalling 90 kts), substantial fuel eff. improvements, and very large cargo capacity.

What do you think of a BWB powered by turboprops, along the lines of your DC-4, “totally new kind of bird, absolutely optimized for fuel efficiency” ??

]]> By: mandarine http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9174 mandarine Thu, 03 Jul 2008 17:57:09 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9174 I would answer with a question: how did the whaling industry, or the fur trade readjust when they hit the limit of a finite resource? But I still have a little hope in me: Boeing and Airbus people are probably smart enough that they can take a good rational argument. If they have enough time to take the bad news onboard then get over it before things go out of control, they might be in a position to choose a new course. I would answer with a question: how did the whaling industry, or the fur trade readjust when they hit the limit of a finite resource?

But I still have a little hope in me: Boeing and Airbus people are probably smart enough that they can take a good rational argument. If they have enough time to take the bad news onboard then get over it before things go out of control, they might be in a position to choose a new course.

]]> By: Jesse http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9173 Jesse Thu, 03 Jul 2008 17:03:32 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9173 You make good sense of why Boeing stock has been dropping lately and coincidently, bonuses have been dropped from Boeing employees. I enjoyed your correlation between this concept of growth, of why aerospace companies depend on growing number of airline passengers. Do you think it would be possible for Boeing to switch industries? say to a different form of transportation: Rail. I'm sure this is something thats not on the table, hell, not even in the same time zone. Boeing did however have one small rail program, obviously wasn't that successful. And also, do you think they would be open to such a proposition? You make good sense of why Boeing stock has been dropping lately and coincidently, bonuses have been dropped from Boeing employees. I enjoyed your correlation between this concept of growth, of why aerospace companies depend on growing number of airline passengers.

Do you think it would be possible for Boeing to switch industries? say to a different form of transportation: Rail. I’m sure this is something thats not on the table, hell, not even in the same time zone. Boeing did however have one small rail program, obviously wasn’t that successful.
And also, do you think they would be open to such a proposition?

]]> By: mandarine http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9170 mandarine Thu, 03 Jul 2008 04:07:31 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9170 I really do not know. My educated guess is that the military contracts can follow one of two paths: either the governments cut on military spending as they see the crisis deepening (which will probably be the first move), or they boost military contracts to prepare for a host of resource-related conflicts (which I hope will not be the second move). I really do not know. My educated guess is that the military contracts can follow one of two paths: either the governments cut on military spending as they see the crisis deepening (which will probably be the first move), or they boost military contracts to prepare for a host of resource-related conflicts (which I hope will not be the second move).

]]> By: Jerry Erwin http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9168 Jerry Erwin Wed, 02 Jul 2008 22:07:52 +0000 http://www.wisemandarine.com/why-airbus-and-boeing-will-soon-go-bust/#comment-9168 Saw your piece at Global Public Media. My question is: How does Boeing's military contracts play into the rest of their business? How much of Boeing is straight military, i.e., JDAM kits, weapon systems, etc? Fellow Peak Oiler and stock market short seller (thanks for the piece BTW), Saw your piece at Global Public Media.

My question is: How does Boeing’s military contracts play into the rest of their business? How much of Boeing is straight military, i.e., JDAM kits, weapon systems, etc?

Fellow Peak Oiler and stock market short seller (thanks for the piece BTW),

]]>